Veteran trader Bob Loukas predicts Bitcoin could reach an all-time high of $150,000 during its current four-year cycle. Loukas believes the cryptocurrency is following a pattern that indicates an explosive period is on the horizon.
Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle: What’s Next?
Currently, Bitcoin’s price is consolidating below its previous peak of $69,000 set in 2021. According to Loukas, the market is now transitioning into the third and historically most bullish year of its four-year cycle. In an October 8 post on social media platform X, he stated, “Bitcoin closes the 2nd year of its 4-year cycle next month, entering the 3rd and historically explosive year of the Cycle.”
Loukas uses the four-year cycle model to identify Bitcoin’s market tops and bottoms. Based on these patterns, he anticipates that Bitcoin could soon experience a parabolic uptrend, driven by a shift in investor sentiment and potential rate cuts by central banks.
“An 8-month base has been built, sentiment reset, and rates are easing. I mean, the script is perfect,” Loukas noted. His analysis suggests that Bitcoin is currently accumulating within a descending broadening wedge, setting up for an imminent breakout.
Geopolitical and Economic Influences
Despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, concerns about the U.S. economy, and the approaching 2024 U.S. presidential election, Loukas maintains his optimistic outlook. He believes that if Bitcoin’s price can close above the upper trendline of the broadening wedge pattern in October, it will confirm the start of the cycle’s third, most explosive year.
Institutional Interest and Market Sentiment
Supporting this bullish view, blockchain analytics firm Santiment has also observed increased investor interest in Bitcoin during the fourth quarter. The firm highlighted a growing sense of optimism among analysts and community members, dubbing the month “Uptober” as they anticipate a bull run in 2024.
“Institutional demand is on the rise, especially with the anticipation of further spot ETFs,” Santiment reported. If speculative buying continues, Loukas suggests that a fear of missing out (FOMO) could drive prices significantly higher.
Additionally, the resurgence of net inflows to U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs is further fueling this positive Q4 narrative. With rising institutional involvement and improving market sentiment, Loukas’s projection aligns with Bitcoin continuing its four-year cycle trajectory.
If Bitcoin continues to follow this “perfect script,” the cryptocurrency could see significant gains in 2024, potentially reaching new all-time highs. However, Bitcoin’s price movements are still subject to broader economic conditions and regulatory developments, making it essential for investors to stay informed.
